by Mike
Flynn
Yes,
I realize everyone in the media is telling me that the race for President is
over. With 5 weeks to go, Obama has been called the winner by the DC bubble of
journalists. Even the beltway GOP has gotten into the act. (My hatred of them
will become clear on November 7th) An objective read of recent polling,
however, shows that Obama is clearly in trouble. Obama is losing and it is his
campaign that needs a boost from today's debate. This week, virtually every media organization has rushed forward their pre-debate polls. Every poll seems to be converging on an Obama lead of 2-4 points. The problem for Obama is that all of these polls have very ambitious assumptions about Democrat turnout this year. It will not come close to 2008 levels, putting Obama's reelection in real jeopardy.
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