Saturday, March 26, 2011

Huckabee, Rush, Palin, the Donald and a wild week

Huckabee, Rush, Palin, the Donald and a wild week

The fun thing about politics is there is never a dull week and the season never ends.  This week has been no different. 

First, a surprising poll from Gallup has as the leading Republican candidate, Mike Huckabee.  Huckabee, over the last few months has been picking up support for President.  In some ways, that is not surprising.  Huckabee has a strong constituency in the evangelical community.  Huckabee hits all the right notes on social issues and social conservatives, contrary to the myth being spread by some, will be out in droves in this upcoming primary season.  Huckabee has a 4-point lead over Romney, followed by Palin and Gingrich.   While many members of the Tea Party do support Huckabee on social issues, on fiscal issues, he is a disaster.  For better or worse, Huckabee shows no signs of actually entering the race.  Assuming he is out that leaves Romney as the front-runner and that is a disaster for the GOP.

Rush was asked on his show on Friday who he would endorse to run against Obama in 2012.   Rush pointed out it was early and he would have to find someone to endorse who he was really “jazzed” about.   While some interpret that as a dig against the current “field,” it actually is not.   Michele Bachmann let the word out she is looking at an exploratory committee this week.  Romney has been running since 2008.  Tim Pawlenty is running.  Gingrich is leaning towards a run.  There are a lot of others who may or may not run, including Huckabee and Palin, both of whom are increasingly looking like they will not run. 

The core of people who might be supporting Palin, if she decides to get in the race could be shrinking.  Michele Bachmann has come out strong and aggressively and will certainly be a contender.  She will draw a significant crowd away from Palin.  The other surprising candidate who might be drawing from that pool of voters Palin would be looking at is Donald Trump.   By coming out so strongly and so aggressively against Obama, particularly on the eligibility issue, Trump is starting to tap into that voter pool.   Trump may well have decided that the strategy he needs to employ is to be the most anti-Obama candidate in the field.  That will work well against not only Obama, but also a number of the RINO candidates, such as Romney.

The thirty-five cent question that became more pointed this week: Is Sarah Palin running for President?  At this point, it actually looks less likely that she will run.  If she does not run, there is a whole cadre of dedicated followers who will look for another candidate to get behind.

The candidate, as Rush so aptly put it in this video, might be milk toast; however, the ultimate goal is to defeat Obama.  As much as it is important to defeat Obama, it is also very important to put a good conservative in power.  As we have seen with John Boehner, it is not enough to simply put someone in because they have an “R” behind their name. 

The candidate, who we pick, as Rush pointed out, must be able to defeat Obama in the general election.  This election must be about Obama.  If we can do that, we will win.

In regard to politics, one thing is certain, next week should be just as interesting.  

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